NCAA Football Free Pick – Saturday, October 23, 2010
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# 8 Alabama @ Tennessee – 7:00 PM ET on ESPN
Alabama (6-1, 3-1) continued its long crawl back to the top of the mountain with a methodical 23-10 win over Ole Miss, as the boys from Tuscaloosa believe a second straight national title is still within their grasps. Tennessee (0-3, 2-4) is still looking for its first conference win after getting blown out by Georgia 41-14 two weeks ago as an 11 ½ point road underdog. The Crimson Tide use the Volunteers as a whipping post to try and get the BCS’s attention.
Prediction: Alabama -16.5 – Bet Now
Odds: Alabama: -16.5 – Tennessee: +16.5 – Over/Under: 48
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Team records:
- Alabama: 6-1 SU, 4-3 ATS
- Tennessee: 2-4 SU, 1-3-1 ATS
Alabama Crimson Tide most recently:
- When playing in October are 9-1
- When playing on grass are 9-1
- After outgaining opponent are 10-0
- When playing within the conference are 9-1
Tennessee Volunteers most recently:
- When playing in October are 4-6
- When playing on grass are 6-4
- After being outgained are 6-4
- When playing within the conference are 4-6
A few betting trends to consider:
- Alabama is 20-1 SU in its last 21 games
- Alabama is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Alabama’s last 6 games when playing Tennessee
- Alabama is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tennessee
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee’s last 6 games when playing Alabama
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee’s last 5 games
- Tennessee is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
- Tennessee is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Alabama
Next up:
- Alabama at LSU, Saturday, November 6
- Tennessee at South Carolina, Saturday, October 30
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