2010 March Madness Tournament Trends

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2010 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament Trends

Below are a few specific trends regarding matchups for the March Madness 2010 NCAA Men’s Basketball March Madness Tournament.

• After being a underdog dominated event for most of the early part of this decade, favorites have turned the tables the last three tournaments, going 48-16 SU & 33-29-2 ATS in ’09, 49-14 SU & 40-23 ATS in ’08, and 51-13 SU & 35-27 ATS in ’07.
• Last year’s tournament was the highest scoring since ‘05, with games averaging 141.6 PPG, and the OVER the total going 36-27- 1 (57%). In the prior year, the OVER was 60%, indicating a shift in how these games are both played and viewed by oddsmakers.
• Double-digit favorites have been almost unbeatable over the last three tournaments, going 44-1 SU & 26-16-3 ATS (61.9%). As another sign of how things have shifted, prior to that, DD chalk had gone 108-6 SU but just 50-64 ATS (44%) this decade.
• Better seeds as underdogs were 1-1 SU & ATS (50%) in ’09. These teams have enjoyed only one winning spread covering year in the last five tournaments, going 10-17 SU & 10-16 ATS (39%) overall during that span.
• One particularly interesting trend comes on totals in games where the better seed is from a non-power conference such as Conference USA, Atlantic 10, Mountain West or other midmajors. In such cases over the last two years, OVER the total is 21-4-1 (84%).

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