2010 March Madness Tournament Seed Matchup Trends

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2010 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament Seed Matchup Trends

Below are a few specific trends regarding Seed matchups for the March Madness 2010 NCAA Men’s Basketball March Madness Tournament.

  • #1 vs. #16: A #1 has never lost to a #16 outright in the tournament, and over the last three years, the #1’s have separated by covering eight of 12 games, with an average winning margin of 31.8 PPG. The OVER is 8-4 in the L12 as well.
  • #2 vs. #15: No #2 seed has lost outright to a #15 since ’01, but over the L5 years, the #15 owns a strong 11-6-3 ATS (65%) edge.
  • #3 vs. #14: The #3 seeds have swept the #14’s the L3 years on the scoreboard by 15.1 PPG while going 10-2 ATS (83%). The UNDER the total is also 8-4 (67%) during that span, and 20-8 (71%) dating back to ’03.
  • #4 vs. #13: Recent trends in the #4-#13 series find the #4’s taking over against the Vegas number, going 12-4 SU & 11-5 ATS (69%) over the L4 years.
  • #5 vs. #12: Recognized as the most popular potential upset by experts, the #12 has fulfilled its destiny in recent years, going 10- 14 SU vs. the #5 since ’04. They have covered the spread in the last six matchups. “A” level conference teams are on a 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS (83%) run on the #12 line.
  • #6 vs. #11: #6 seeds have done predictably vs. the #11’s of late, going 10-6 SU & 8-8 ATS (50%) since ‘06. Interestingly, since ’98, #6 seeds playing as favorites of 5-points or less are 17-7 ATS (71%), those laying more than 5-points are 8-16 ATS (33%). Ten of the L16 games have gone OVER the total.
  • #7 vs. #10: Three #10 seeds pulled upsets last year, the most since ’99. However, that 3-1 ATS mark for the #10’s improved their record to just 11-21 ATS since ’02. The straight up winner in this matchup has covered the spread in every game since ’98, 48 games!
  • #8 vs. #9: The #8-#9 series has been as close as expected of late. In fact, over the course of the L11 tournaments, the #9’s own a 23-21 SU & 23-19-2 ATS (55%) edge. Totals have shown a distinct pattern as well, 21-11 OVER (66%) since ’02.

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