Spurs vs Nuggets | Prediction & Pick

NBA Free Pick – Thursday, December  16, 2010

vs.

San Antonio Spurs (21-3) at Denver Nuggets (15-9)
Thursday, December 16, 2010 at 10:30 pm EST on TNT

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The San Antonio Spurs, the first-place team in the Southwest Division of the Western Conference, travel to play the Denver Nuggets, the third-place team in the Northwest Division of the Western Conference. The two teams will play, of course, at the Pepsi Center.

It’s the first meeting between these teams this season.

In the East, there is Boston. In the (South)West there is San Antonio. The Spurs are playing as good as any team in the NBA right now, and it’s behind the famiiar triumvirate of Tim Duncan, Manu Ginobili and Tony Parker. Each member of the trio leads the Spurs in a different, important, statistical category and seem to have reached back and found some old magic and fixed whatever has been ailing them the last two years. This team, my friends, is playing really good.

There is only one story with the Denver Nuggets, and that’s the will-he-stay-or-will-he-go saga of Carmelo Anthony. The constant distraction that this has caused from before the season combined with Anthony’s affected demeanor and open fawnings for a trade to the Nets or Knicks mean trouble for the Nuggets. Also, his 20.2 points per game career average against the Spurs is Anthony’s lowest against any Western Conference opponent.

The Spurs are -x point favorites.

The Spurs are a veteran, focused group that isn’t easily distracted by big road games. The Nuggets have one of the top 3 scorers in the NBA, but no idea if he’ll put in the effort on a given night.

The odds makers have the San Antonio Spurs as a -1 point favorite with an over/under of 212.

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San Antonio Spurs Betting Trends:

  • San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio’s last 6 games on the road
  • San Antonio is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio’s last 5 games when playing Denver

Denver Nuggets Betting Trends:

  • Denver is 4-10-1 ATS in its last 15 games
  • Denver is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver’s last 10 games at home
  • Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

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