Grizzlies vs Thunder | Game 7 Prediction & Pick

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NBA Playoffs Betting Preview- Memphis Grizzlies at Oklahoma City Thunder
Sunday, May 15, 2011 at 3:00 pm EST on ABC

Pointspread: Oklahoma City -6 ½
Money Line: Oklahoma City -300, Memphis +250
Over/Under: 198

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The Western Conference semifinal matchup between the Memphis Grizzlies and the Oklahoma City Thunder has become a best-of-one as the two will square-off against one another this Sunday in Game 7 at Oklahoma City Arena in a winner-take-all showdown. Tip-off is set for 3 p.m. (ET) and the game will be broadcast nationally on ABC.

Memphis found itself trailing by 10 points after the first half in Friday night’s Game 6 but rallied in the second to pull out a 95-83 victory as a 1 ½-point home favorite to force a Game 7 in this series. The total stayed ‘under’ the 195-point total. The Grizzlies are 5-1 both straight-up and against the spread at home in the postseason, but just 2-4 SU and 3-2-1 ATS on the road. The total is 7-5 in their 12 playoff games.

If Memphis is going to have any chance to advance to the conference finals, it will need one more huge effort from Zach Randolph and Marc Gasol. Rudolph leads the team in scoring with 22.7 points a game and is pulling down 10.9 rebounds a game, while Gasol is second in scoring with 15.3 points and has a team-high 11.6 rebounds. Mike Conley has also been clutch in these playoffs with 14.9 points and 6.4 assists a game.

The Grizzlies are averaging 99.3 points a game and shooting 44 percent from the field. They are hitting just 31.7 percent of their shots from three-point range and are completing 75.8 percent of their attempts from the free-throw line.

The final three games in Oklahoma City’s first round series against Denver were each decided by three points, but the closest games in this series were a pair of eight point losses on the road. The Thunder won Game 2 at home by nine points as a 6 ½-point favorite and rolled to a 99-72 victory as a six-point home favorite in Game 5. They are 2-3 SU and 2-2-1 ATS on the road this postseason but are 5-1 SU and 3-3 ATS at home. The total is 4-6-1 in 11 playoff games.

Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook have been a two-headed scoring machine this postseason with a combined 53 points a game which is over half of the Thunders’ points. Durant was held to just 11 points in Game 6 and was a dismal 1-for-9 from three-point range, but overall , he is shooting 45.1 percent from the floor and 37.1 percent from beyond the arc. Serge Ibaka and James Harden have also been key contributors with a combined 22.3 points and 13.5 rebounds a game.

The Thunder are shooting 43.4 percent from the field but just 32 percent from three-point range. They are averaging 102.8 points and pulling down 46.8 rebounds a game while holding their opponents to an average of 99.5 points and 41.5 rebounds a game.

Head-to-head, the Grizzlies won three of four games SU in the regular season and were 3-1 ATS. This series is tied 3-3 both SU and ATS. The total has gone ‘over’ in seven of the 10 games overall, but has stayed ‘under’ in three of the last four games of this series.

This time around, stick with the Durant and the Thunder to get the job done at home with a one-sided victory that easily covers the 6 ½-point spread.

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The odds makers have the Oklahoma City Thunder as a -6.5 point favorite with an over/under of 198.

Check out the latest NBA Basketball Playoff Odds here.

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Memphis Grizzlies Betting Trends:

• The total has gone OVER in 6 of Memphis’s last 9 games
• Memphis is 18-6-1 ATS in its last 25 games
• Memphis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
• Memphis is 14-6-1 ATS in its last 21 games on the road

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Trends:

• Oklahoma City is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games
• Oklahoma City is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home
• The total has gone OVER in 8 of Oklahoma City’s last 11 games when playing Memphis
• Oklahoma City is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Memphis