NBA Free Pick – Saturday February 12, 2011
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Charlotte Bobcats @ Atlanta Hawks
Saturday, February 12, 2011 at 7:00 pm EST on NBA TV
The Charlotte Bobcats pay a visit to the Philips Arena this Saturday night to take on the Atlanta Hawks in this Southeast Division matchup .Tip-off is set for 7 p.m. (ET) and the game will be broadcast nationally on NBA TV.
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Charlotte’s record in the month of February dropped to 2-3 straight-up with a 104-103 loss to Indiana as a 4 ½-point road underdog on Wednesday night. Heading into Friday night’s game against New Jersey, the Bobcats are 5-5 SU in their last 10 games and 22-30 SU overall. They have fared better against the spread with a record of 26-24-2. Charlotte is in ninth-place in the Eastern Conference and still in good position to make it into the postseason.
The Bobcats have five players scoring in double-figures led by Stephen Jackson’s 18.9 points a game. Gerald Wallace is averaging 15.5 points and a team-high 8.1 rebounds a game and D.J. Augustin is the third-leading scorer with 14.8 points while leading the team in assists with an average of 6.2 a game.
Charlotte ranks near the bottom of the league in scoring with an average of 93.7 points a game and is giving up an average of 96.8 points. It is shooting 44.7 percent from the field and 34.1 percent from three-point range. The Bobcats have been solid under the boards this season with an average of 42 rebounds a game, which rank them 12th in the NBA.
Atlanta continues to chase Miami in the Southeast and is currently five games behind the Heat with an overall record of 33-19 SU (24-28 ATS). The Hawks have gone 6-4 SU in their last 10 games and are coming off a 117-83 blowout loss to Philadelphia as a 3 ½-point home favorite this past Tuesday night. They are currently in fourth-place in the East with the best record of any non-division leading team.
Joe Johnson leads Atlanta with 20.1 points and 5.4 assists a game. Josh Smith is averaging 16.3 points and 8.9 rebounds a game and Al Horford is third in scoring with 16.2 points and has a team-high 9.9 rebounds a game to round out a solid trio of players. The Hawks will most likely be without Horford for this game as he remains doubtful with a back injury so look for Marvin Williams to step and fill the void.
Atlanta is averaging 97.2 points a game and shooting 46.4 percent from the field. The Hawks are hitting 35.4 percent of their three-point shots and are ranked seventh in the league from the foul-line; converting 78.4 percent of their attempts. They are ranked 23rd in the NBA in rebounds with an average of 40.4 a game.
Charlotte is 5-2 ATS in its last seven games on the road and 3-2 ATS in its last five games overall. The total has gone ‘over’ in its last four games.
Atlanta is 2-3 ATS in its last five home games and 3-3 ATS in its last six games overall. The total has gone ‘over’ in six of its last eight games.
Head-to-head, the Hawks have won four of the last five games SU including a 90-85 win in December as a 6 ½-point home favorite and a 103-87 victory as a three-point road underdog on Jan.22. The Bobcats are 3-1 ATS in the last four meetings and the total has gone ‘over’ in six of the last eight.
Atlanta should open as a four or five point favorite in this game. The loss of Horford gives the Bobcats a huge advantage under the boards and excellent chance to not only cover the spread, but win the game outright.
The odds makers have the Atlanta Hawks as a -6.5 point favorite with an over/under of 187.5.
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Charlotte Bobcats Betting Trends:
- Charlotte is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
- Charlotte is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games ,
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte’s last 5 games
- Charlotte is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Atlanta Hawks Betting Trends:
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta’s last 8 games
- Atlanta is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games
- Atlanta is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
- Atlanta is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games at home
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