Yankees vs Red Sox | Prediction & Pick

Yankees vs Red Sox – MLB Free Pick – Sunday April 10, 2011

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New York Yankees (5-3) vs Boston Red Sox (1-7)
Sunday, April 10, 2011 at 8:05 PM EST on ESPN

Line: Yankees -1.5 (+135)
Money Line: Yankees -119, Red Sox +109
Run Total: 9.5

Pitching Probables: C.C. Sabathia vs Josh Beckett

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Sometimes these stand alone ESPN games on Sunday night seem a little manufactured but not when it is the New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox. The Yankees have a definite advantage tonight with ace C.C. Sabathia on the hill as well as having rebounded from a loss in the opener with an easy victory on Saturday. Sabathia hasn’t won yet this season but that is not because he isn’t pitching well enough. In his first two starts he has given up only 2 earned runs while striking out a batter an inning. Historically the big lefty has been just OK against Boston but last year he struggled at Fenway Park with an ERA of 7.20 over a couple of starts. Fenway is always a tough spot for lefty starters and the Sox usually have a plethora of right handed bats that pepper the Green Monster. Their lineup is composed a little differently than normal this season with a couple of additions that aren’t really panning out right now.

Including the additions of Carl Crawford and Adrian Gonzalez little has gone right for the Red Sox so far this season. However a series win over the hated Yankees would make everyone feel better about the club’s real prospects for the 2011 season. A couple of year’s ago it would have been a real confidence booster to see Josh Becket on the mound but now not so much. He has just become too easy to hit and might never recover to the dominance we used to see. Last year against New York he got absolutely lit up. In five starts against them his ERA was an astronomical 10.04 and he gave up 9 homers in just 26 innings.The Yankees are always a patient groups and they have so many hitters that can burn you. I am not very confident in his ability to hold down a lineup that just scored 9 runs yesterday.

The odds makers have the New York Yankees as a -1.5 point favorite with an run total of 9.5.

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Prediction: Yankees close out a series with another victory making Red Sox Nation start to really worry about their season.

Score Prediction: New York – 7 / Boston – 2

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New York Yankees Betting Trends:

• The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Yankees’s last 8 games
• The total has gone OVER in 8 of NY Yankees’s last 11 games on the road
• The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees’s last 5 games when playing Boston
• NY Yankees are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games when playing Boston

Boston Red Sox Betting Trends:

• The total has gone OVER in 9 of Boston’s last 12 games
• Boston is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
• The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston’s last 5 games at home
• Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home