Reds vs Braves | Prediction & Pick

Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick

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The Atlanta Braves and Cincinnati Reds meet for game two of their three game series in Atlanta on Saturday with the Reds looking to pull themselves out of a recent road slump.

Date/Time: Saturday, May 28, 7:10 PM ET
Venue: Turner Field in Atlanta, GA.
Broadcast: FOX

Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves Betting Lines
Money Line: Cincinnati +130, Atlanta -150
Spread: Atlanta -1.5
Over/Under: 7.5

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Coming into the series on Friday, the Reds have been struggling, dropping to third place in the National League Central.

They are also under .500 (11-14) on the road this season, 2-8 in their last 10 games, and had also lost two in a row. As a team Cincinnati is hitting .260 with last season’s MVP Joey Votto at .330, Brandon Phillips at .306, and Jay Bruce is hitting .289.

The Reds pitching staff has an ERA of 4.46 with their starters combining for an ERA of 4.95 and the bullpen at 3.69.

For game two Cincinnati will start right-hander Bronson Arroyo has had a less than stellar year and is 3-5 with an ERA of 5.28 in 10 starts this season. He is 6-3 all time against the Braves with an ERA of over 5.00.  His last outing in Philadelphia was by far his ugliest of the season, as Arroyo gave up nine runs and 10 hits in just 2 2/3 innings.

Meanwhile, the Braves are  just 3 ½ games back in the National League East and they have played well enough to stay within striking distance of St. Louis as many of the others in the division are moving in reverse.

Atlanta is 14-10 at home this season, winners of two in a row, and 6-4 in their last 10 games.

As a team Atlanta is hitting .242 with Martin Prado at .285, Brian McCann at .274, Alex Gonzalez at .268, and Chipper Jones at .262.

The Braves pitching staff has a team ERA of 2.97 with the starters at 3.19 and the bullpen at 2.55.

With Tim Hudson and Brandon Beachy injured, the Braves’ rotation depth is being tested and for game two of this series Atlanta starts Derek Lowe who is uncharacteristically struggling with his control of late.  Lowe’s five free passes were a season high agasint the Angles his last time out in game where he struck out five but gave up three runs on five hits over six innings.

The Braves are 9-0 in their last nine against the NL Central, 4-0 in their last four home games, while Cincinnati is 2-8 in their last 10 against the NL East, 1-7 in their last eight road games.

The odds makers have the Atlanta Braves as a -1.5 point favorite with an run total of 7.5.

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Matt’s Free Prediction: Braves-The Braves are playing well and the Reds seem to be cooling and just don’t seem to have the pitching necessary to beat the hot bats in Atlanta.

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Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends:

• The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati’s last 5 games
• Cincinnati is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
• The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati’s last 5 games on the road
• Cincinnati is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road

Atlanta Braves Betting Trends:

• The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta’s last 10 games
• Atlanta is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games
• Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
• The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta’s last 10 games when playing Cincinnati