NCAA Football Free Pick – Saturday, November 13, 2010
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#19 Mississippi State @ #12 Alabama – 7:15 PM ET on ESPN2
Mississippi State is riding s six game winning streak with wins over Georgia, Florida, and Kentucky. Alabama has to pick up the pieces after a devastating loss to LSU that most likely ended its chances at defending last season’s national title. The Crimson Tide has won their last two games against the Bulldogs both SU and ATS.
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Prediction: Alabama -13.5 – Bet Now
Odds: Mississippi State: +13.5 – Alabama: -13.5 – Over/Under: 47.5
Team records:
- Mississippi State: 7-2 SU, 5-3 ATS
- Alabama: 7-2 SU, 5-4 ATS
Mississippi State Bulldogs most recently:
- When playing in November are 4-6
- When playing on grass are 8-2
- After being outgained are 8-2
- When playing within the conference are 5-5
Alabama Crimson Tide most recently:
- When playing in November are 8-2
- When playing on grass are 8-2
- After being outgained are 7-3
- When playing within the conference are 8-2
A few betting trends to consider:
- Mississippi State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Mississippi State’s last 5 games when playing Alabama
- Mississippi State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
- Mississippi State is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games on the road
- Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
- Alabama is 21-2 SU in its last 23 games
- Alabama is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Mississippi State
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Alabama’s last 5 games at home
Next up:
- Mississippi State home to Arkansas, Saturday, November 20
- Alabama home to Auburn, Friday, November 26
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