Top 3 NFL Pointspread Plays – Week 9
Last week nine home teams won their game straight-up, but only eight came out on top against the spread. Only four road teams won outright and five road teams won ATS.
Six dogs managed to win their games ATS with five teams winning outright; Miami, Green Bay, Jacksonville, Tampa Bay, and New Orleans.
Turning to Week 9, more than half of the 13 home teams are underdogs with seven of them getting points. The largest spread of any game has Minnesota at home giving nine points to Arizona. The smallest spread has Oakland as a 2 ½ point home favorite over division rival Kansas City.
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Here is a look at my top three ‘pointspread’ plays for the NFL’s Week 9. All lines quoted are courtesy of betus.com.
San Diego (-3) @ Houston
San Diego’s 33-25 win over Tennessee last week at home brought the Chargers’ overall record to 3-5 on the year, but they are still winless on the road in four tries. The win may prove to be costly after TE Antonio Gates broke the plantar fascia in his right foot that will most likely sidelined him for this game.
Houston’s offense only managed to convert three third downs and turned the ball over twice in its 30-17 loss to Indianapolis last Monday night. QB Matt Schaub only managed to complete 57.9 percent of his passes for 201 yards with one TD pass and one interception.
The Chargers are 0-5 ATS in their last five games as a road favorite. The Texans are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as home favorite. The Pick: Houston +3
Tampa Bay @ Atlanta (-8)
Tampa Bay’s defense is ranked 25th overall and 30th against the run, but its ball-hawking secondary leads the NFL with 14 interceptions. Second year QB Josh Freeman has completed 60.3 percent of his passes for 1,533 yards and has thrown eight TD’s against just three interceptions.
Atlanta’s offense is ranked sixth overall; 11th in passing and fifth in rushing. QB Matt Ryan has completed 156-of-252 attempts for 1,714 yards and has thrown 12 TD’s. RB Michael Turner has rushed for 587 yards on 131 carries. Atlanta is ranked 10th in the league in scoring; averaging 24.1 points per game.
The Buccaneers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as a road underdog. They are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against the Falcons and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games that were played in Atlanta. The Pick: Tampa Bay +8
Kansas City @ Oakland (-2 ½)
Kansas City leads the AFC West with a record of 5-2 and needs just one more win to match its win total for the last two seasons combined. The Chiefs’ offense is ranked 12th overall and 11th in scoring; averaging 23.2 points per game. Their defense is ranked 16th overall and fifth in points allowed; giving up an average of 17.4 points per game.
Oakland followed up its 59 point outburst against Denver, the most in team history, with a 33-3 win over Seattle last week. The Raiders suddenly find themselves with the eighth ranked offence and ninth ranked defense in the league.
The Chiefs are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall and 7-0 ATS in the last seven games that were played in Oakland. The Raiders are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games as a home favorite. The Pick: Kansas City + 2 ½
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