NCAA Football Free Pick – Saturday, November 6, 2010
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Northwestern @ Penn State – 3:30 PM ET on ABC
This game may be an afterthought in terms of the Big Ten race but it could mean a lot for bowl positioning – assuming PSU gets another win this year which is not a given. Both teams are coming off of victories last week and the Nittany Lions were fairly impressive in beating Michigan behind QB Matthew McGloin. He may not be the athlete Robert Bolden is but he is showing a knack for getting it done and Evan Royster has come back to life partly as a result. McGloin vs. NW’s Dan Persa is a pretty good battle at QB that should determine the winner here.
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Prediction: Northwestern 28 – Penn State 24 – Bet Now
Odds: Northwestern: +6 – Penn State: -6 – Over/Under: 48
Team records:
- Northwestern: 6-2 SU, 1-5-1 ATS
- Penn State: 5-3 SU, 3-4 ATS
Northwestern Wildcats most recently:
- When playing in November are 7-3
- When playing on grass are 6-4
- After outgaining opponent are 5-5
- When playing within the conference are 6-4
Penn State Nittany Lions most recently:
- When playing in November are 7-3
- When playing on grass are 7-3
- After outgaining opponent are 7-3
- When playing within the conference are 7-3
A few betting trends to consider:
- Northwestern is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
- Northwestern is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
- Northwestern is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing Penn State
- Northwestern is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Penn State
- Penn State is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games at home
- Penn State is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Northwestern
- Penn State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Northwestern
- Penn State is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games
Next up:
- Northwestern home to Iowa, Saturday, November 13
- Penn State at Ohio State, Saturday, November 13
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