Kentucky vs Mississippi State | Predictions

NCAA Football Free Pick – Saturday, October 30, 2010

vs.

Kentucky @ #21 Mississippi State – 7:00 PM ET on ESPNU

Kentucky (4-4) followed up its 31-28 upset victory over South Carolina as a 5 ½ point home underdog with a 44-31 loss to Georgia as a 6 ½ home favorite. Mississippi State (6-2) has won five straight after a 1-2 start including a 24-12 win over Georgia as a one-point home favorite and a 10-7 win over Florida as a 9 ½ point road underdog. These Bulldogs will be a bit too much for the Wildcats to handle, especially on the road.

Prediction: Mississippi State -6.5 – Bet Now

Odds: Kentucky: +6.5 – Mississippi State: -6.5 – Over/Under: 56

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Team records:

• Kentucky: 4-4 SU, 5-3 ATS
• Mississippi State: 6-2 SU, 4-3 ATS

Kentucky Wildcats most recently:

• When playing in October are 3-7
• When playing on grass are 5-5
• After outgaining opponent are 6-4
• When playing within the conference are 4-6

Mississippi State Bulldogs most recently:

• When playing in October are 7-3
• When playing on grass are 7-3
• After outgaining opponent are 3-7
• When playing within the conference are 4-6

A few betting trends to consider:

• The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kentucky’s last 6 games when playing Mississippi State
• Kentucky is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Mississippi State
• Kentucky is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
• Mississippi State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
• Mississippi State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
• The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Mississippi State’s last 6 games when playing Kentucky
• Mississippi State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Kentucky

Next up:

• Kentucky home to Charleston Southern, Saturday, November 6
• Mississippi State at Alabama, Saturday, November 13

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