UAB vs Mississippi State | Free Pick

NCAA Football Free Pick – Saturday, October 23, 2010

vs.

UAB @ #24 Mississippi State – 7:00 PM ET on ESPN

UAB (2-4), out of Conference-USA has struggled recently with losses in two of its last three games. The Blazers are coming off a 21-6 win over UTEP as three-point home favorite. Mississippi State (5-2, 2-2) has climbed back into the top 25 after four straight wins including a 10-6 upset of Florida last week as a 9 ½ point road underdog. Look for the Bulldogs to carry all that momentum into this game to keep things rolling in the right direction.

Prediction: Mississippi State -20 – Bet Now

Odds: UAB: +20 – Mississippi State: -20 – Over/Under: 51.5

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Team records:

• UAB: 2-4 SU, 3-3 ATS
• Mississippi State: 5-2 SU, 4-2 ATS

UAB Blazers most recently:

• When playing in October are 4-6
• When playing on grass are 1-9
• After outgaining opponent are 1-9
• When playing outside the conference are 3-7

Mississippi State Bulldogs most recently:

• When playing in October are 6-4
• When playing on grass are 6-4
• After being outgained are 8-2
• When playing outside the conference are 7-3

A few betting trends to consider:

• The total has gone OVER in 4 of UAB’s last 6 games on the road
• UAB is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
• UAB is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
• UAB is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games on the road
• Mississippi State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
• Mississippi State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Next up:

• UAB at Southern Miss, Saturday, October 30
• Mississippi State home to Kentucky, Saturday, October 30