NFL Free Pick – Sunday, October 10, 2010
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Oakland Raider at San Francisco 49ers 4:05 PM CBS – The Raiders are coming off an upset over archrival San Diego last week and should have some momentum as they look to add to the woes of the hapless San Francisco 49’ers this weekend.
Running back Michael Bush led the Raiders offensive charge rolling up 104 yards on 26 carries with a touchdown in the win. The strength of the team has been its ability to run the football, and ranks 7th overall with 134 yards per game. Bush has contributed 157 yards of that, but the real standout has been Darren McFadden with 392 yards, as he is averaging 4.6 per carry.
Meanwhile, the 49ers season is in a downward spiral as they lost their fifth straight to Philadelphia a week ago.
Niners’ QB Alex Smith tarnished a solid effort with two interceptions after passing for 309 yards and two TDs. It’s been the same story all season.
The team has been nonexistent on the ground with 77 yards to rank 30th, and is wasting one of the most productive running backs in the league as Frank Gore has just 322 yards and a single TD in five appearances.
He will face little challenge by a Raiders front four that has trouble limiting the run, allowing opponents to manage 147.8 yards per game, putting the team second to last at 31st overall.
Even though Oakland is just a mediocre team at best, they should be able to collect more than 15 points — San Francisco’s average per game—behind a solid running attack and a better defensive effort.
The odds makers have the San Francisco 49ers as a -6.5 point favorite with an over/under of 41.5.
PREDICTION: Oakland
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Oakland Raiders Betting Trends:
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland’s last 5 games
- Oakland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland’s last 5 games on the road
- Oakland is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
San Francisco 49ers Betting Trends:
- San Francisco is 0-4-1 SU in its last 5 games
- San Francisco is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
- San Francisco is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco’s last 6 games at home
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