Notre Dame vs Michigan State | Predictions

Saturday, September 18, 2010

vs.

Notre Dame @ Michigan State – 8:00 PM ET on ABC

I am not sure this game is prime time worthy but it should be a close contest. Both head coaches are former Cincinnatti Bearcats coaches, who knew that was such an important gig. MSU doesn’t back down against ND. They have won 2 of 3 and 6 of 10 in the series. Not much value in line until it moves some more. If you are lucky your local cable provider will be showing Texas-Texas Techm another close game that might be more entertaining than this one.

Prediction: Michigan State 27 – Notre Dame 24 – Bet Now

Odds: Michigan State: -3.5- Notre Dame: +3.5 – Over/Under: 51.5

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Last time out for the Irish, they were a 28-24 loser as they battled Michigan at home. Notre Dame failed to cover in the match as a 3-point favorite, while 52 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors.

The Spartans were  a 30-17 winner in its last match on the road against Florida Atlantic. They failed to cover the 26?point spread as favorites, while the total score of 47 sent UNDER bettors to the payout window.

Current streak:

• Michigan State has won 2 straight games.

Team records:

• Notre Dame: 1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS
• Michigan State: 2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS

Notre Dame Fighting Irish most recently:

• When playing in September are 7-3
• When playing on grass are 4-6
• After outgaining opponent are 3-7
• When playing outside the conference are 5-5

Michigan State Spartans most recently:

• When playing in September are 7-3
• When playing on grass are 6-4
• After outgaining opponent are 5-5
• When playing outside the conference are 6-4

A few betting trends to consider:

• The total has gone OVER in 5 of Notre Dame’s last 6 games when playing Michigan State
• The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Notre Dame’s last 17 games on the road
• The total has gone OVER in 4 of Notre Dame’s last 6 games on the road
• Notre Dame is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
• The total has gone OVER in 5 of Michigan State’s last 6 games when playing Notre Dame
• Michigan State is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Notre Dame
• Michigan State is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games at home
• Michigan State is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing Notre Dame

Next up:

• Notre Dame home to Stanford, Saturday, September 25
• Michigan State home to N. Colorado, Saturday, September 25