FREE PICK – SATURDAY, FEBRUARY 6, 2010
#20 Baylor Bears (17-4) vs. Texas A&M Aggies (16-6)
The No. 20 Baylor Bears will make the short 92-mile trip to College Station to tip off against cross-state rival the Texas A&M Aggies in a Big 12 showdown at the Reed Arena on Saturday.
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The last time these two teams tangled the Bears edged out a 72-68 win back on Feb 14, 2009. Texas A&M will look to preserve their 15-game home winning streak when the two meet for the 200th time this weekend.
The Bears are coming off an 84-63 victory over Iowa State on Wednesday. LaceDarius Dunn finished with team-high 21 points in the win. Baylor has now won 17 games in their first 21. The backcourt play of Dunn and senior Tweety Carter has been the primary reason for Baylor’s success. Dunn is third in the Big 12 with 18.5 points per game, and is averaging 12.0 on 30.6 percent from the field per game. Carter is averaging 17.1 points and leads the conference in assists with 6.2 per game. He had 14 points and two assists in Baylor’s last game against the Aggies.
David Loubeau and Donald Sloan both scored 17 points and grabbed eight rebounds apiece to lead the Texas A&M Aggies to a 77-74 victory over the Missouri Tigers on Wednesday. After trailing 37-36 at the half, the Aggies fought back in the second, shooting 50.0 percent from the field while outrebounding Missouri by a 44-26 margin. A&M is a hard to team to try and figure out. They are inconsistent from both the outside and the inside offensively, and are currently ranked 11th in the Big 12 in field-goal percentage (.444) and last in 3-point accuracy (.319). The one constant is their scrappy defense, which has kept them in many a contest this season.
The odds are not posted yet for this one.
The Aggies will need to pester Baylor’s Carter and Dunn in an attempt to disrupt their rhythm while slowing down the game’s tempo.
This will be a close one. The Aggies have home court advantage, but I expect the Bears to take this one late in the second half edging out a 5-point win.
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- Baylor is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
- Baylor is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games
- The total has gone OVER in 7 of Baylor’s last 8 games
- Baylor is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
- Texas A&M is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
- Texas A&M is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
- Texas A&M is 3-8-1 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Baylor
- Texas A&M is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Baylor
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