WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 3, 2010 – FREE NCAA BASKETBALL PICK
Mississippi State (16-5) v #18 Vanderbilt Commodores (16-4)
The No. 18 Vanderbilt Commodores will prepare to tip off against SEC West Division leader, the Mississippi State Bulldogs on Wednesday at Memorial Gym in Nashville, Tennessee.
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The Bulldogs handed Vandy a 73-66 defeat the last time the two teams met back on Jan 17. The Commodores, who haven’t lost at home in more than a year, have won two in a row against Mississippi State in Nashville. The home team has also won the last five games in the series.
The Commodores will be looking to get back on the rails while trying to record their 16th consecutive home victory after their 10-game winning streak was snapped by an 85-72 loss at former No. 1 Kentucky on Saturday. Jermaine Beal recorded a team-high 19 while star 6-11 junior center A.J. Ogilvy was held to just 12 points, eight by way of free throws in the loss. Ogilvy also grabbed just four rebounds, as the Commodores were out rebounded 41-22. Vandy shot a decent47.8 percent, but allowed the Wildcats to drain 12 of 23 from beyond the arc.
Mississippi State is also looking to get back in track and at the same time avoid a third straight conference road loss. The Bulldogs have won four consecutive games and won nine of 10 against the SEC East including a 67-51 win over LSU on Saturday. Ravern Johnson scored a team-high 15 points while Jarvis Varnado scored 11 points and Barry Stewart and Phil Turner added 12 points each in the win. Despite State’s lack of scoring and shooting in recent games, its defense remains consistent, allowing a SEC-best 61 points per game.
The odds makers have the Bulldogs +4.5-point underdogs in this one.
This match up will produce a pair of critical duels. Ogilvy versus Varnado and Beal against State’s Dee Bost. Bost has to play better at the point, as he was just 3-for-14 from the field and 0-for-5 from the 3-point line this past week.
Expect this game to go down to the wire with Vandy hitting a pivotal 3-pointer to win this one at home.
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- Mississippi State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
- Mississippi State is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games
- Mississippi State is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
- Mississippi State is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games on the road
- Vanderbilt is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
- Vanderbilt is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vanderbilt’s last 6 games
- Vanderbilt is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
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