North Carolina 2009-2010 Basketball Betting Prediction, Odds, Lines,

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North Carolina 2008-2009 Record: 34-4, 13-3

North Carolina 2008-2009 Post Season: NCAA

North Carolina Coach: Roy Williams (176-37 at North Carolina, 594-138 overall)

North Carolina Projected Starters:

• Larry Drew II, Sophomore, Guard, 1.4 points per game
• Dexter Strickland, Freshman, Guard, DNP last season
• John Henson, Freshman, Forward, DNP last season
• Deon Thompson, Senior, Forward, 10.6 points per game
• Ed Davis, Sophomore, Forward, 6.7 points per game

North Carolina Player to Watch: Marcus Ginyard

North Carolina Key Losses: G Wayne Ellington, G Bobby Frasor, F Danny Green, F Tyler Hansbrough, G Ty Lawson

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2009-2010 North Carolina Season Preview

The last time this happened, North Carolina made rebuilding look easy. The Tar Heels won the 2005 NCAA title, and then lost everybody.

Not almost everybody – everybody. Seniors like Jawad Williams and Jackie Manuel graduated. Juniors like Raymond Felton and Sean May turned pro. Everybody left – everybody but David Noel, a walk-on from the football team who had averaged 3.9 ppg in 2005.

In other words … they lost everybody. And still, North Carolina went 23-8 in 2006. Went 12-4 in the ACC. Made rebuilding look easy.

And they’re about to do it again.

The parallels to 2006 are obvious. North Carolina is the defending national champion. It lost seniors to graduation (Tyler Hansbrough, Danny Green), and juniors to the NBA (Ty Lawson, Wayne Ellington).

But North Carolina didn’t lose everybody, not with Deon Thompson and Ed Davis and Marcus Ginyard and Tyler Zeller returning to the team. On a year-by-year basis, Roy Williams is recruiting at a level the college game hasn’t seen since Rick Pitino was at Kentucky more than a decade ago. The Wildcats won two titles in three years back then, remember.

It could happen at North Carolina. Maybe not a repeat title this year, but two in three years? Why not? Even if they did lose 75 percent of their scoring from last season, the Tar Heels still return two or three future NBA players … and added a few more future pros.

North Carolina Backcourt

North Carolina has just one question, but it’s a screaming question: Who’s the point guard? Two years ago, Williams recruited sophomore Larry Drew II to be the eventual heir to Lawson, but the average UNC fan can’t be completely at ease with him in charge. In limited minutes, Drew shot poorly from the floor (35.1 percent) and line (41.2 percent), and had a 1.64-to-l ratio of assists to turnovers – not bad, but still, not half as good as Lawson’s 3.48-to-l ratio.

If Drew struggles, Williams’ secondary options are a pair of players better suited to the wing – Marcus Ginyard, who took a medical redshirt last season, and freshman Dexter Strickland. If Drew succeeds, Strickland would join Leslie McDonald and Ginyard on the wing.

Even so, the Tar Heels’ backcourt has fallen a long way from its perch as the deepest in college basketball a year ago.

North Carolina Frontcourt

But he does have big guys. The frontcourt is so loaded that the Tar Heels, who rarely played more than two ‘bigs’ together last season, could play three this season. That would mean someone like Thompson or freshman John Henson at small forward, giving UNC a Frontcourt of NBA size and ability.

Davis is a lottery pick whenever he enters the draft – and that would have included this year’s draft – and Thompson and Zeller have NBA potential as well. So does Henson, considered one of the top three prospects from the class of 2009, though he’s even skinnier now than Davis was a year ago. Davis managed; he was a double-double threat and also averaged 1.7 blocks.

The 6-10 Wear twins – freshmen David and Travis – will fight for frontcourt minutes as well. They were merely McDonald’s All-Americans. That’s Williams’ biggest problem – too many good players, not enough minutes.

2009-2010 North Carolina Predictions

North Carolina has more than enough talent to win the National Championship again, but this is a young team. This team will all come down to chemistry. Coach Roy Williams will find the right pieces and put them in the right places and that should be enough to get this team on top of the ACC standings, but the inexperience will get the best of them sooner or later.

North Carolina Finish in the ACC: 1st
North Carolina Projected Post-season Tournament: NCAA

North Carolina Betting Odds

North Carolina Odds to Win 2010 Mens NCAA Basketball Tournament: +1200
North Carolina Odds to Win the ACC: +175

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