Top 3 NFL Pointspread Plays – Week 10
Last week seven home teams won their game straight-up, but only five came out on top against the spread. Six road teams won straight-up, five road teams won ATS and there was one ‘push’; Chicago @ Buffalo.
Five dogs managed to win their games but only Cleveland won its game outright, as Tampa Bay, Detroit, Arizona, and Indianapolis won ATS but lost SU.
Turning to Week 10 there are five home team getting points out of 14 total games. The largest spread has New York (Giants) at home giving 14 points to Dallas. The smallest spread has Atlanta as a one-point home favorite over Baltimore and Minnesota as a one-point road favorite against Chicago.
Here is a look at my top three ‘pointspread’ plays for the NFL’s Week 10. All lines quoted are courtesy of BetUs.com.
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Houston @ Jacksonville (-1 ½)
Houston leads the NFL in rushing touchdowns with a total of 12 and second-year RB Arian Foster has nine of them. The Texans’ defense is still a huge cause for concern as it is ranked last overall and 29th in points allowed; giving up an average of 28.2 points per game.
Jacksonville has been outscored by a total of 61 points, but at 4-4 are just a game back of Indianapolis and Tennessee in the AFC South. The Jaguars’ defense could actually be worse than Houston’s as it is ranked in the bottom third of the league in just about every major category.
The Texans are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games against the Jaguars and the underdog in this series is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 games. The Pick: Houston +1 ½
Cincinnati @ Indianapolis (-7)
Trouble may be brewing between the dynamic duo of WR’s Terrell Owens and Chad Ochocinco. Owens is having a career year and Ochocinco was caught engaged in a heated exchange with QB Carson Palmer on the sidelines in last week’s loss to Pittsburgh.
Indianapolis WR Austin Collie has been ruled out this week after sustaining a concussion on a vicious but legal hit in last week’s loss to Philadelphia. Peyton Manning has completed passes to 11 different players this season in light of multiple injuries to the Colts’ receiving corps.
The Bengals are 1-5 ATS in their last six games against the Colts and are 1-4 ATS in their last four trips to Indianapolis. The favorite in this series is 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings. The Pick: Indianapolis -7
New England @ Pittsburgh (-5)
New England’s defense is going to have to tighten things up to try and contain Steelers’ RB Rashard Mendenhall after giving up 230 yards on the ground in last week’s shocking 34-14 loss to Cleveland. The Patriots are currently ranked 21st against the run; giving up an average of 117.6 yards per game.
Pittsburgh is 6-2 but has sandwiched a 10-point loss to the Saints between a one-point win over Miami on a controversial call and a six-point win over Cincinnati last week. The Steelers’ offense is ranked 16th in the league in scoring; averaging 21.8 points per game.
The Patriots are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games against the Steelers and 5-1 ATS in their last six games played in Pittsburgh. The underdog is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 games between these two teams and the road team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 games. The total has gone ‘over’ in six of their last seven meetings. The Pick: New England +5
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