Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos | Predictions, Preview , Odds & Free Pick | Sportsbookbuzz.com

NFL Free Pick – Sunday, November 14, 2010

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Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos
Sunday, November 14, 2010 at 4:05 PM EST on CBS

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Denver enters Sunday’s contest riding a four game losing streak that included a 59-14 blowout by the Raiders and a 24-16 loss to the then 1-6 San Francisco 49ers. One hopes the bye week has given the team a chance to regroup as coach Josh McDaniels searches for a winning recipe to get the Broncos back on track.

The team has dealt with a lot of injuries and appears to be wearing down after at least appearing to be competitive for the first six weeks of the season, despite having a 2-4 record.

The Broncos do deserve a little credit for its passing game that has at times allowed the team to stay in games early in the season. QB Kyle Orton is having a terrific season. Orton has made mass improvements in his two seasons in Denver under McDaniels. He has a proclivity for throwing the football, and has rolled up 2,510 yards with 12 touchdowns thus far in the season. You can’t fault Orton for the piling losses’, considering the O-line has offered him up for 21 sacks. Can you name 10 quarterbacks who are better than Orton is right now? It’s tough to do.

Denver’s receiving group has been excellent as well. Journeyman Brandon Lloyd is having an All-Pro season with 42 catches for 878 yards and four touchdowns, while Jabar Gaffney who leads the team in receiving, has 45 catches for 516 yards and a one TD.

As for the running game, it’s been virtually non-existent. Running back Knowshon Moreno has had an abysmal season rushing for just 252 yards and two touchdowns. He leads the team with no other running back on the roster having more than 100 yards total for the season.

This should lend itself well to the Chiefs run stoppers who have held opponents just shy of the century mark in rushing yards surrendered per game. Leading tackler Derrick Johnson should have no problem squashing the Broncos run support.

Where it gets interesting is whether the trio of Eric Berry, Brandon Flowers, and Jon McGraw has what is needed to shut down Denver’s prolific passing attack.

The Chiefs’ Matt Cassel has been a bust so far this season completing fewer than 60 percent of his passes for just 1,412 yards with 12 touchdowns and four interceptions. You have to wonder what’s going on, as Cassel’s failures are not for the lack of capable receivers. Both Tony Moeki and Dwayne Bowe could play larger roles if Cassel could connect.

The success for KC has been its running game. It sets up the pass and it keeps the defense rested. The Chiefs lead the league in rushing, averaging nearly 180 yards per game. The two –man attack of Jamaal Charles who has 719 yards rushing and is averaging 6.4 yards a carry, and Thomas Jones who has 570 yards, is a big reason why Kansas City is winning games.

Can Denver’s D.J. Williams and Mario Haggan contain that running game? The pair has 123 tackles between them but has only faced this type of running threat once before, as Oakland pounded them for 328 yards and five TDs on the ground, and 59 points on the scoreboard.

Kansas City has shown improvement on both sides of the ball, while the Broncos are last in the NFL in rushing and they are 31st in stopping the run. This game will be one on the ground, so the advantage has to go to the Chiefs.

The odds makers have the Chiefs as a -1 point favorite with an over/under of 43.

PREDICTION: Kansas City

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